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Red26
49253.8
55639.2
636714.3
Blue60
620111.5
862619.4
17616.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254302060802660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6367
#25
14.30.1
11.511.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 5.1
8626
#26
19.40.9
17.918.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
5563
#36
9.20.1
9.69.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
blue by 2.4
6201
#27
11.50.9
10.110.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
4925
#38
3.80.1
3.63.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 2.6
1761
#23
6.40.9
9.19.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed