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Red45
192231.3
84217.1
332314.0
Blue49
862619.4
50920.9
196515.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149304060704549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
23.523.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 10.4
509
#7
20.90.9
15.414.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Second
3323
#33
14.00.0
10.710.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 5.4
8626
#26
19.40.9
16.715.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Third
8421
#35
7.10.0
8.58.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 8.3
1965
#30
15.40.9
15.514.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed