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Red80
24622.4
636714.3
13128.4
Blue25
63248.4
66916.6
35979.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6134020801001201401608025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.40.9
24.425.3
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
red by 18.8
3597
#28
9.72.8
11.58.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Second
246
#24
22.40.9
17.918.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
red by 14.0
6324
#32
8.42.8
13.010.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
6367
#25
14.30.9
9.710.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.1
End2.8
red by 7.7
6691
#37DQ
6.62.8
9.66.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed