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Red32
196515.4
19026.7
49253.8
Blue62
287627.1
206730.6
55639.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397002060801001203262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#19
26.70.4
21.220.8
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 3.9
2067
#12
30.60.1
25.025.2
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
Second
1965
#30
15.40.4
13.713.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
blue by 11.7
2876
#13
27.10.1
25.125.2
Auto12.1
Teleop13.4
End1.6
Third
4925
#38
3.80.4
3.73.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 5.4
5563
#36
9.20.1
9.79.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed