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Red79
271329.7
84217.1
573524.2
Blue57
17616.4
346742.8
13128.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5091204060801001201407957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.6
27.028.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
blue by 13.1
42.81.7
39.037.3
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
Second
5735
#10
24.22.6
17.119.7
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 4.2
131
#6
28.41.7
28.727.0
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
Third
8421
#35
7.11.6
6.37.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 0.6
1761
#23
6.41.7
9.98.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned81%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed