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Red64
862619.4
192231.3
35979.7
Blue55
71625.5
417620.0
53478.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645240801006455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.5
27.728.2
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 5.8
716
#8
25.50.4
23.824.2
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
8626
#26
19.40.5
18.819.3
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 0.6
4176
#18
20.00.4
15.515.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
3597
#28
9.70.9
9.610.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
red by 1.7
5347
#31
8.00.7
9.29.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed