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Red76
24622.4
66916.6
7837.0
Blue80
856722.9
208422.1
50920.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71592040801007680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#2
37.00.9
38.239.1
Auto13.8
Teleop19.6
End3.6
red by 14.1
8567
#17
22.91.7
18.420.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
Second
246
#24
22.40.9
20.321.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End0.4
red by 0.3
2084
#11
22.11.7
18.620.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
6691
#37
6.61.4
4.45.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 14.3
509
#7
20.91.7
17.719.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed