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Red79
856722.9
431119.9
63248.4
Blue52
7837.0
860415.7
35979.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49782040601001207952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#17
22.90.8
20.120.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
blue by 14.1
78
#2
37.01.3
37.936.6
Auto13.8
Teleop19.6
End3.6
Second
4311
#15
19.90.8
19.720.5
Auto9.9
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 4.2
8604
#29
15.71.8
16.915.1
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
6324
#32
8.41.0
7.88.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 1.3
3597
#28
9.71.9
12.010.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed