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Red71
71625.5
206730.6
972916.0
Blue36
196515.4
208422.1
620111.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74492040601001201407136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#12
30.60.5
26.627.1
Auto13.7
Teleop13.2
End3.7
red by 8.5
2084
#11
22.10.8
21.721.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
716
#8
25.50.5
25.225.6
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 10.1
1965
#30
15.40.8
14.413.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.2
Third
9729
#14
16.00.5
12.312.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End1.9
red by 4.4
6201
#27
11.50.8
11.410.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed