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Red62
287731.6
63248.4
84217.1
Blue33
55639.2
862619.4
573524.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51602040801006233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.4
31.330.9
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 7.4
5735
#10
24.22.0
21.919.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
Second
6324
#32
8.40.5
8.88.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 11.0
8626
#26
19.41.5
20.519.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Third
8421
#35
7.10.4
7.57.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 2.1
5563
#36
9.21.5
10.99.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed