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Red64
620111.5
19026.7
13128.4
Blue65
50920.9
332314.0
417620.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70552040801001206465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#6
28.40.1
28.829.0
Auto11.6
Teleop11.9
End5.0
red by 7.5
509
#7
20.90.6
20.020.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Second
190
#19
26.70.1
22.422.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
red by 6.7
4176
#18
20.00.6
19.119.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
6201
#27
11.50.1
10.610.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 2.5
3323
#33
14.00.7
12.513.2
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed