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Red81
972916.0
53478.0
346742.8
Blue43
55639.2
71625.5
63248.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7444020601001201401608143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.0
39.939.9
Auto14.1
Teleop25.5
End3.2
red by 17.3
716
#8
25.50.3
25.425.1
Auto12.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
9729
#14
16.00.0
15.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End1.9
red by 6.8
5563
#36
9.20.3
9.49.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End-0.4
Third
5347
#31
8.00.0
7.98.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 0.5
6324
#32
8.40.3
8.48.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed