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Red43
860415.7
50920.9
84217.1
Blue49
208422.1
175717.6
49253.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494501001502002503003504349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#7
20.90.0
20.620.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End2.9
blue by 1.2
2084
#11
22.10.5
20.721.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
8604
#29
15.70.0
15.815.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 1.9
1757
#16
17.60.6
17.017.6
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End1.7
Third
8421
#35
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 3.3
4925
#38
3.80.5
3.33.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed