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Red50
66916.6
573524.2
107316.3
Blue72
271329.7
242319.9
620111.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4365020801001205072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#10
24.20.7
19.920.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.1
End1.8
blue by 5.5
29.70.7
28.529.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Second
1073
#21
16.30.6
15.315.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 3.6
2423
#22
19.90.7
16.617.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Third
6691
#37
6.60.7
6.06.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.1
blue by 4.9
6201
#27
11.50.7
10.811.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed