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Red72
19026.7
862619.4
23811.7
Blue81
287731.6
856722.9
332314.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55752040601001207281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#19
26.71.0
22.523.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End1.7
blue by 4.9
31.60.7
30.931.6
Auto13.2
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Second
8626
#26
19.41.0
19.020.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 3.5
8567
#17
22.90.7
21.422.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End0.1
Third
238
#20
11.71.0
10.311.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 2.3
3323
#33
14.00.8
13.214.0
Auto6.8
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed