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Red51
673112.2
287725.8
862616.7
Blue41
856716.4
490810.5
804613.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393810203050605141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
25.81.4
17.018.4
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
red by 9.3
8567
#24
16.40.6
11.211.7
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
8626
#10
16.71.4
8.510.0
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 3.0
8046
#32
13.70.6
15.516.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
6731
#33
12.21.4
8.610.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 1.6
4908
#25
10.50.6
9.49.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed