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Red29
115319.1
6911.1
22623.1
Blue79
207918.4
356615.8
46721.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3334102030405060702979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.4
12.912.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
blue by 2.0
467
#5
21.13.9
13.117.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
69
#23
11.10.4
10.39.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 7.3
2079
#16
18.43.9
9.713.6
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
2262
#36
3.10.4
9.49.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End-0.4
blue by 12.7
15.82.4
5.88.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned