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Red68
12527.1
24617.9
500010.0
Blue62
404824.1
31915.7
271319.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5543020801001201401606862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
27.10.1
22.622.7
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 3.0
4048
#13
24.11.8
14.816.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Second
246
#4
17.90.1
13.613.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 1.6
2713
#14
19.61.8
7.79.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
5000
#29
10.00.1
11.912.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 5.7
319
#21
15.71.8
18.119.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed