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Red69
234216.8
362315.4
8825.3
Blue26
242318.4
92867.7
63679.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553502040801006926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#6
25.31.3
26.828.0
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End3.8
red by 6.9
2423
#18
18.40.9
16.816.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Second
2342
#20
16.81.3
7.38.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 7.1
6367
#27
9.70.9
8.07.1
Auto5.8
Teleop1.6
End2.3
Third
3623
#11
15.41.3
13.414.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 7.7
9286
#31
7.70.9
8.98.1
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsEarned