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Red86
490925.3
581326.1
287725.8
Blue37
804613.7
862616.7
542217.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654402060801001208637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.1
15.016.1
Auto13.2
Teleop11.2
End1.6
red by 8.7
5422
#15
17.30.6
16.515.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
Second
2877
#17
25.81.1
18.419.6
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
red by 9.0
8626
#10
16.70.6
10.09.3
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Third
25.30.7
23.223.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End1.7
red by 11.7
8046
#32
13.70.6
16.015.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed