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Red52
7837.6
41696.9
115319.1
Blue54
24617.9
404824.1
207918.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515130406070805254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
37.60.4
27.127.5
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
red by 13.4
4048
#13
24.10.8
17.218.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Second
19.10.4
12.513.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 0.7
2079
#16
18.40.8
13.614.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
4169
#35
6.90.4
8.48.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 11.0
246
#4
17.90.8
13.714.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed