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Red54
6911.1
242318.4
490810.5
Blue38
92867.7
46721.1
862616.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3640203050605438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#18
18.40.8
16.016.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 2.7
467
#5
21.10.2
16.416.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
69
#23
11.10.9
8.69.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 5.6
8626
#10
16.70.2
9.39.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Third
4908
#25
10.50.9
9.710.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
red by 2.9
9286
#31
7.70.2
8.18.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed