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Red45
234216.8
549413.3
404824.1
Blue47
596212.1
46721.1
111915.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840303545504547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#13
24.10.6
16.617.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
red by 3.0
467
#5
21.10.7
15.716.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Second
2342
#20
16.80.6
8.69.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 0.9
1119
#19
15.90.7
9.710.4
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Third
5494
#12
13.30.6
9.710.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
red by 1.1
5962
#22
12.10.7
10.210.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed