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Red21
96449.4
92867.7
196515.5
Blue44
673112.2
41696.9
490925.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27510204060801001202144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1965
#28
15.50.9
9.38.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 9.8
25.30.4
24.223.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Second
9644
#26
9.414.3
22.58.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 2.8
6731
#33
12.20.7
9.38.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
9286
#31
7.70.9
8.87.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
red by 0.8
4169
#35
6.90.7
9.58.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed