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Red59
804613.7
8825.3
673112.2
Blue69
7837.6
46721.1
96449.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635701001502002505969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#6
25.30.3
29.029.2
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End3.8
blue by 12.3
78
#1
37.61.5
27.529.0
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
Second
8046
#32
13.70.3
15.415.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 7.4
467
#5
21.11.6
16.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
6731
#33
12.20.3
11.812.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 2.8
9644
#26
9.41.6
8.39.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed