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Red52
24617.9
63679.7
542217.3
Blue64
490810.5
207918.4
12527.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426320801001205264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#4
17.90.4
14.514.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 9.2
125
#2
27.11.2
26.925.8
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
5422
#15
17.30.3
17.717.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
blue by 1.1
2079
#16
18.41.2
17.015.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
6367
#27
9.70.4
8.17.7
Auto5.8
Teleop1.6
End2.3
blue by 0.8
4908
#25
10.51.2
10.59.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned