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Red47
581326.1
196515.5
500010.0
Blue55
549413.3
395810.4
115319.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060704755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.7
17.416.7
Auto13.2
Teleop11.2
End1.6
red by 7.0
19.10.9
15.514.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Second
1965
#28
15.50.7
13.412.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 2.3
5494
#12
13.30.9
14.713.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
5000
#29
10.00.7
12.111.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 0.3
3958
#34
10.40.9
13.312.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned