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Red72
111915.9
271319.6
234216.8
Blue27
41696.9
362315.4
856716.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364802060801007227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#14
19.64.0
11.815.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 3.1
8567
#24
16.41.7
15.213.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
2342
#20
16.84.3
10.414.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 1.4
3623
#11
15.41.8
15.914.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
1119
#19
15.94.3
11.415.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
red by 9.0
4169
#35
6.91.8
10.48.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed