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Red43
46721.1
287725.8
6114.4
Blue43
356615.8
8825.3
6911.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565440506070804343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
25.8
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
red by 0.4
88
#6
25.3
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Second
467
#5
21.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 5.3
15.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
61
#30
14.4
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 3.3
69
#23
11.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed