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Red50
542217.3
234216.8
92867.7
Blue41
207918.4
271319.6
6114.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38492060805041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#15
17.30.8
15.316.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
blue by 2.2
2713
#14
19.60.7
16.716.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Second
2342
#20
16.80.8
13.914.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 1.6
2079
#16
18.40.9
13.112.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Third
9286
#31
7.71.0
6.47.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
blue by 6.8
61
#30
14.41.0
13.012.1
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed