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Red51
362315.4
24617.9
46721.1
Blue29
500010.0
862616.7
549413.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060805129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#5
21.11.2
16.918.1
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 4.4
8626
#10
16.70.8
15.014.2
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Second
246
#4
17.91.1
12.413.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 4.7
5494
#12
13.30.8
13.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
3623
#11
15.41.1
11.212.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 5.4
5000
#29
10.00.8
8.17.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed