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Red38
242318.4
804613.7
41696.9
Blue61
111915.9
7837.6
6911.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4065020801001203861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#18
18.40.4
16.916.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 19.1
78
#1
37.60.4
32.532.9
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
Second
8046
#32
13.70.5
13.913.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
blue by 2.2
1119
#19
15.90.5
14.715.2
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Third
4169
#35
6.90.5
8.17.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End0.9
blue by 4.2
69
#23
11.10.6
8.79.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed