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Red62
12527.1
6114.4
234216.8
Blue42
115319.1
673112.2
490810.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563820801006242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
27.10.8
21.822.6
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 8.0
19.10.6
14.413.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Second
2342
#20
16.80.7
14.715.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 4.6
6731
#33
12.20.8
9.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
61
#30
14.40.9
12.112.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 3.9
4908
#25
10.50.8
12.211.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned