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Red75
490925.3
196515.5
46721.1
Blue78
581326.1
24617.9
271319.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565740506070807578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.6
22.323.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 0.7
26.12.3
20.823.0
Auto13.2
Teleop11.2
End1.6
Second
467
#5
21.12.5
18.120.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 1.6
2713
#14
19.62.1
16.018.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
Third
1965
#28
15.52.3
11.013.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
blue by 2.4
246
#4
17.92.7
13.516.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed