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Red79
115319.1
12527.1
271319.6
Blue61
7837.6
31915.7
6114.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801001207961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
27.11.3
22.623.9
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
blue by 10.4
78
#1
37.60.2
33.733.5
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
Second
2713
#14
19.61.0
18.019.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
red by 3.9
319
#21
15.70.2
12.812.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
Third
19.11.0
13.814.8
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 4.6
61
#30
14.40.2
12.912.7
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed