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Red42
673112.2
542217.3
856716.4
Blue38
92867.7
111915.9
8825.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44561020304050607080904238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#15
17.30.6
14.914.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
blue by 8.0
88
#6
25.31.1
27.226.1
Auto10.2
Teleop11.3
End3.8
Second
8567
#24
16.40.6
17.416.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
red by 0.5
1119
#19
15.91.5
14.112.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Third
6731
#33
12.20.8
8.98.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 4.5
9286
#31
7.71.5
8.16.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed