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Red28
490810.5
500010.0
395810.4
Blue60
490925.3
862616.7
242318.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28670204060801001202860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#25
10.50.8
11.410.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
blue by 14.8
25.30.3
23.924.2
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End1.7
Second
3958
#34
10.40.8
9.68.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 8.1
2423
#18
18.40.3
16.516.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Third
5000
#29
10.00.8
8.77.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 6.7
8626
#10
16.70.4
15.215.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed