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Red60
549413.3
207918.4
362315.4
Blue52
804613.7
287725.8
404824.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35690204060801006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
#16
18.40.8
12.112.9
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
blue by 7.4
2877
#17
25.80.6
22.121.5
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
3623
#11
15.40.8
12.413.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 8.7
4048
#13
24.10.6
23.022.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Third
5494
#12
13.30.8
11.011.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
blue by 0.4
8046
#32
13.70.6
13.512.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed