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Red46
356615.8
490810.5
31915.7
Blue34
500010.0
207918.4
804613.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3444102030405060704634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.3
5.65.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 2.6
2079
#16
18.40.5
10.29.7
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Second
319
#21
15.70.4
17.718.1
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
red by 2.0
8046
#32
13.70.5
16.015.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
4908
#25
10.50.4
8.99.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
red by 0.5
5000
#29
10.00.5
12.511.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed