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Red62
196515.5
7837.6
596212.1
Blue41
6114.4
111915.9
362315.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801001201401606241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
37.61.3
25.827.1
Auto15.8
Teleop18.5
End3.3
red by 21.7
1119
#19
15.911.3
21.39.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Second
1965
#28
15.51.3
8.49.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 0.1
3623
#11
15.40.8
12.613.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
5962
#22
12.11.3
8.910.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End0.6
blue by 2.3
61
#30
14.40.8
12.112.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed