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Red60
490925.3
6911.1
500010.0
Blue51
404824.1
242318.4
673112.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455310203040607080906051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
24.224.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.7
End1.7
red by 1.2
4048
#13
24.10.3
22.422.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Second
69
#23
11.10.7
10.010.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 7.3
2423
#18
18.40.3
16.817.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Third
5000
#29
10.00.6
7.98.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End2.4
blue by 2.1
6731
#33
12.20.3
8.08.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsMissed