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Red62
862616.7
12527.1
31915.7
Blue55
287725.8
96449.4
362315.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59462030407080901006255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
27.10.0
23.923.9
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 1.4
2877
#17
25.80.1
21.521.6
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
8626
#10
16.70.0
15.615.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 1.3
3623
#11
15.40.1
13.213.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
319
#21
15.70.0
12.612.6
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
red by 6.3
9644
#26
9.40.1
8.78.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned