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Red61
111915.9
395810.4
207918.4
Blue50
804613.7
6114.4
549413.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374201020305060706150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2079
#16
18.41.8
12.914.7
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
red by 4.0
61
#30
14.41.1
12.713.8
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Second
1119
#19
15.91.8
12.614.4
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
red by 2.2
8046
#32
13.71.0
12.913.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
3958
#34
10.41.8
8.810.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 2.9
5494
#12
13.31.0
11.812.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed