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Red59
31915.7
673112.2
362315.4
Blue96
404824.1
581326.1
542217.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32740204060801001205996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#21
15.71.8
12.614.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
blue by 10.4
26.11.3
24.625.9
Auto13.2
Teleop11.2
End1.6
Second
3623
#11
15.41.8
13.415.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
blue by 8.7
4048
#13
24.11.4
22.724.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.2
End3.0
Third
6731
#33
12.21.8
8.410.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 5.1
5422
#15
17.31.3
14.816.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed