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Red58
207918.4
287725.8
92867.7
Blue77
242318.4
12527.1
111915.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45642040801005877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
25.80.9
21.622.5
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
blue by 1.4
125
#2
27.11.2
23.925.1
Auto17.2
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
2079
#16
18.40.8
14.715.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3
Level
2423
#18
18.41.1
17.018.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Third
9286
#31
7.70.8
6.97.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End0.1
blue by 8.2
1119
#19
15.91.2
14.415.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed