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Red71
6114.4
96449.4
24617.9
Blue45
6911.1
549413.3
856716.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424402060801001207145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#4
17.90.6
15.916.5
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 1.5
8567
#24
16.40.4
15.916.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End0.9
Second
61
#30
14.40.6
13.814.4
Auto7.5
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 1.2
5494
#12
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End1.7
Third
9644
#26
9.40.6
8.89.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End1.4
blue by 1.8
69
#23
11.10.5
10.711.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed