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Red51
862616.7
196515.5
63679.7
Blue39
395810.4
804613.7
234216.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43442030405060705139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8626
#10
16.70.9
15.616.5
Auto7.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
Level
2342
#20
16.80.2
15.515.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Second
1965
#28
15.50.9
14.615.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End1.6
red by 1.9
8046
#32
13.70.2
13.913.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Third
6367
#27
9.70.9
8.89.7
Auto5.8
Teleop1.6
End2.3
blue by 0.7
3958
#34
10.40.2
10.610.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed