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Red73
24617.9
271319.6
234216.8
Blue81
287725.8
207918.4
115319.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57682040801001207381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#14
19.60.4
19.119.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.2
End1.4
blue by 6.2
2877
#17
25.80.5
24.625.1
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
246
#4
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.5
End1.9
blue by 1.1
19.10.5
18.018.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
2342
#20
16.80.4
16.316.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 1.6
2079
#16
18.40.5
17.317.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3