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Red53
356615.8
542217.3
31915.7
Blue93
287725.8
207918.4
115319.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5170204060801001205393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#15
17.30.1
17.217.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End0.2
blue by 8.4
2877
#17
25.80.7
25.125.8
Auto11.7
Teleop12.7
End1.4
Second
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 3.3
19.10.6
18.519.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.2
End1.9
Third
319
#21
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto6.3
Teleop9.0
End0.4
blue by 2.7
2079
#16
18.40.6
17.818.4
Auto8.4
Teleop8.7
End1.3