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Red83
7827.5
19021.1
176830.5
Blue23
6913.9
542221.7
86269.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005501508323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.3
31.130.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.2
End0.6
red by 8.8
5422
#10
21.72.1
26.724.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End1.1
Second
78
#7
27.50.3
29.729.4
Auto9.2
Teleop16.1
End2.1
red by 13.6
69
#12
13.92.1
16.214.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.5
Third
190
#11
21.10.3
24.624.3
Auto10.0
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 11.7
9.32.1
12.09.9
Auto6.6
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed